Tag Archives: Black Swan

Beyond Einstein: In Search of the Ultimate Explanation

See: Beyond Einstein: In Search of the Ultimate Explanation Dialogos of Eide

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Plinko and the Galton(quincunx) Board

See Plinko Probability 2.02  A working replica of the machine   (following a slightly modified design.) There is this randomness that seems to take hold over my thoughts regarding probability. The thoughts question how we can even know with certainty … Continue reading

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Fractals and Antennas and The Economy

 The intuitive framework has to recognize that you have already worked the angles and that such intuition is gathered from all that has been worked. This contradicts what you are saying. I am not saying it is right just that … Continue reading

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Rara Avis in Terris Nigroque Simillima Cygno

Statistical and applied probabilistic knowledge is the core of knowledge; statistics is what tells you if something is true, false, or merely anecdotal; it is the “logic of science”; it is the instrument of risk-taking; it is the applied tools … Continue reading

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Plinko Sounds a Bit like the Galton Board

This independence created by philosophical insight is—in my opinion—the mark of distinction between a mere artisan or specialist and a real seeker after truth. (Einstein to Thornton, 7 December 1944, EA 61-574)See also: Entheorizing So nature has it’s way in … Continue reading

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The Black Swan

“All swans are white” is a falsifiable claim – it could be proven wrong. Black Swan, Claremont (Cygnus atratus), Tasmania, Australia Even so, the statement all swans are white is testable by being falsifiable. For, if in testing many swans, … Continue reading

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